Esbjerg vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
2º
15
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 26 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
97.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HOB
3 - 6
ESB
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ESB
1 - 2
OBK
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
FRE
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
ESB
35%
24%
42%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 0
LFA
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ACH
3 - 2
HIL
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 3
FRE
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
ACH
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
ACH
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |