Europa League Last 16
Global 2-5
Esbjerg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
ESB
4 - 1
KUO
61%
20%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
KUO
0 - 2
ESB
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
ESB
1 - 0
IKS
42%
24%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
IKS
0 - 0
ESB
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
ESB
0 - 1
BOH
51%
21%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
RTV
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 1
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
WWO
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
HER
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
DTB
1 - 0
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |