Esbjerg vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
2º
1
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 26 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
ESB
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
ESB
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 8
ESB
2%
6%
92%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
ACH
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 4
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
4 - 2
HBK
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 2
ACH
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
FA2
1 - 5
HBK
22%
21%
57%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 1
HBK
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |