Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Esbjerg vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOH
2 - 1
ESB
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1966 |
DUK
4 - 0
ESB
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
ESB
0 - 2
DUK
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
CAR
1 - 0
ESB
41%
21%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
ESB
0 - 0
CAR
62%
18%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOH
2 - 1
ESB
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
BOH
1 - 1
GLA
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
GLA
4 - 1
BOH
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
BOH
0 - 1
HSV
35%
25%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
HSV
3 - 0
BOH
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |