Esbjerg vs B93 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
2º
11
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 40 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 32 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 26 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 12 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99% | 30% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
VEJ
1 - 3
ESB
5%
11%
84%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
ESB
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
4 - 1
HBK
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
ESB
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
B19
1 - 4
B93
5%
11%
84%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
HOB
0 - 1
B93
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
B93
0 - 0
HIL
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 4
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
B93
1 - 3
OBK
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |