Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FCN
0 - 4
ESB
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ESB
3 - 2
KBK
83%
13%
5%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
RAN
0 - 1
ESB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
VES
1 - 2
ESB
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ESB
2 - 0
AAB
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
AGF
2 - 4
MID
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FCN
0 - 2
AGF
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
VFF
1 - 0
AGF
30%
25%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
AGF
2 - 2
SIF
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |