Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FCN
2 - 0
ESB
26%
25%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 1
ESB
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
ESB
0 - 0
ACH
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
AAB
2 - 0
ESB
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
ESB
0 - 1
TRO
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
AGF
3 - 0
BIF
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MID
3 - 3
AGF
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
AGF
0 - 4
OBK
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
FCK
1 - 1
AGF
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
AGF
2 - 3
VFF
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |