Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
RAN
1 - 1
ESB
24%
23%
52%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FCN
2 - 3
ESB
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ESB
1 - 2
AGF
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
VFF
2 - 0
ESB
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ESB
2 - 4
OBK
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AGF
2 - 2
AAB
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ESB
1 - 2
AGF
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 5
AGF
15%
21%
65%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AGF
3 - 1
MID
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
FCK
2 - 1
AGF
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |