Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ESB
0 - 1
AAB
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
AGF
1 - 1
ESB
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
ESB
0 - 0
FCK
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ESB
4 - 1
MID
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 3
ESB
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FCK
4 - 1
AGF
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
AGF
1 - 1
ESB
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
MID
1 - 1
AGF
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 2
FCN
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
KBK
1 - 4
AGF
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |