Esbjerg vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
ESB
1 - 3
AAB
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SIF
1 - 3
ESB
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ESB
0 - 0
FCN
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
ESB
3 - 0
MID
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
SON
0 - 0
ESB
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
ESB
1 - 3
AAB
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
BRU
3 - 0
AAB
62%
20%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AAB
1 - 0
BIF
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AAB
1 - 3
BRU
23%
24%
54%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
AAB
2 - 4
CSK
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |