Linas-Montlhery vs Les Mureaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
12º
2º
35
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linas-Montlhery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 5
PAR
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VTR
1 - 0
ESA
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 0
BRE
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 1
GOB
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LMR
0 - 2
ESA
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Les Mureaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
4 - 0
LMU
46%
28%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LMU
1 - 2
AUB
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MFC
3 - 2
LMU
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LMU
1 - 0
BLA
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IVR
0 - 0
LMU
54%
24%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |