Linas-Montlhery vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
8º
3º
14
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 44 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 41 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 24 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linas-Montlhery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
CHA
64%
19%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OIS
6 - 0
ESA
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
ALE
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 1
FBB
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 2
ESA
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 1
CAE
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
AGC
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAE
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 2
DIV
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
ALE
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |