CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
ES Setif vs Zanaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SET
3 - 1
CHL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
SET
2 - 1
USM
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SET
1 - 0
USM
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
USM
2 - 0
SET
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
SET
3 - 0
HUS
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
RED
1 - 1
ZAN
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ZAN
2 - 0
LUD
57%
25%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ASE
1 - 1
ZAN
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -6 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ZAN
1 - 0
ASE
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ZAN
4 - 0
URA
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +4 |