CAF Champions Final
Global 3-3
ES Setif vs AS Vita Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VCL
2 - 2
SET
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
SET
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
SET
1 - 1
MOB
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TPM
3 - 2
SET
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SET
2 - 1
TPM
65%
20%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AS Vita Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VCL
2 - 2
SET
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MKE
1 - 0
VCL
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VCL
4 - 1
RCK
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CSS
1 - 2
VCL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VCL
2 - 1
CSS
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |