ES Setif vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
13º
5º
49
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SET
1 - 0
JSK
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
5 - 3
SET
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SET
2 - 1
EBA
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
USK
1 - 0
SET
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
SET
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
USM
2 - 1
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
USM
3 - 0
USK
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JSK
1 - 0
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
USM
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
USM
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |