ES Setif vs NC Magra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
7º
5º
0
11º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
0 | 50 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 49 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
3 | 49 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 32 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
26% | 0.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
11% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
SET
1 - 0
EBA
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 0
SET
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
SET
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SET
2 - 1
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
SET
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
NC Magra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
OUK
1 - 0
NCM
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 3
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
USK
2 - 2
NCM
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 0
PAR
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SET
0 - 0
NCM
60%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |