ES Setif vs NC Magra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
11º
8º
15
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 25 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
SET
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
SET
1 - 0
EBA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 0
SET
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
SET
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SET
2 - 1
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NC Magra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NCM
0 - 0
USM
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
OAK
1 - 0
NCM
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 3
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
USK
2 - 2
NCM
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 0
PAR
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |