CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
ES Setif vs Léopards de Dolisié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
1.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SET
4 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
SET
11%
16%
73%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
4 - 1
SET
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ALG
3 - 2
SET
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SET
4 - 2
ASF
92%
7%
2%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Léopards de Dolisié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEO
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
SET
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
PAT
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 0
KAN
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | 0 |