CAF Champions Last 16
Global 5-3
ES Setif vs Étoile Du Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 1
SET
19%
25%
57%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
USM
2 - 1
SET
23%
29%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
SET
1 - 3
USM
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
SET
3 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SET
2 - 1
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Étoile Du Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ETO
5 - 0
KIK
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 1
SET
19%
25%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 0
KON
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +16 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 0
TAL
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ETO
3 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |