ES Setif vs El Bayadh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
7º
5º
0
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
0 | 50 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 49 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
3 | 49 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 32 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
26% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 0
SET
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
SET
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SET
2 - 1
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
SET
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SET
0 - 0
NCM
60%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
El Bayadh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
EBA
1 - 0
ETO
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ORA
2 - 0
EBA
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
EBA
2 - 1
USB
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
EBA
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
EBA
1 - 1
JSK
39%
31%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |