CAF Champions Last 16
Global 5-3
ES Setif vs AS Faso/Yennenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
SET
2 - 0
CAB
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
SET
32%
29%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SET
2 - 1
USM
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
SET
2 - 1
HUS
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
JSK
1 - 1
SET
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Faso/Yennenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
ASF
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ASF
3 - 1
USY
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 1
ASF
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ASF
3 - 0
FEL
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ASF
1 - 1
ASK
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |