CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
ES Setif vs Al-Merreikh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SET
1 - 0
DTA
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
SET
13%
21%
67%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
SET
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SET
3 - 1
ASM
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SET
4 - 2
ETO
85%
12%
4%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | +2 |
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
MEN
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
WAD
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
SET
13%
21%
67%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | -3 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
WAR
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -26 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 1
ALM
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |