ES Rades vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Rades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
OUE
1 - 2
RAD
54%
21%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BEM
1 - 0
RAD
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
RAD
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
RAD
1 - 5
STA
14%
27%
59%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MED
1 - 1
RAD
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 2
ESP
12%
23%
65%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
STA
0 - 0
ASD
56%
27%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASA
0 - 1
ASD
10%
18%
72%
|
56 | 15 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESJ
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ESH
1 - 1
ASD
25%
30%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |