ES Pennoise vs Olympique Alès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AGD
2 - 0
ESP
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
NIM
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ILE
1 - 1
ESP
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
ARL
43%
23%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VEN
0 - 0
OLY
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
OLY
2 - 0
VEN
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 5
OLY
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 2
SÈT
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |