ES Pennoise vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AND
1 - 0
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
FEU
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
5 - 3
GAR
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 0
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
BAS
12%
23%
65%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |