ES Pennoise vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SÈT
5 - 1
ESP
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SPO
5 - 5
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 2
AJA
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 1
ESP
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AUB
0 - 1
ECH
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 0
BOR
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
AUB
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 1
ESP
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FEU
1 - 3
AUB
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |