ES Pennoise vs Arles II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LAS
1 - 0
ESP
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
AIX
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
5 - 2
ESP
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 1
ESP
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
5 - 0
ECH
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Arles II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ARL
3 - 1
UZE
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 2
OLY
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ECH
0 - 1
ARL
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
ARL
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 3
SPO
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |