ES Pennoise vs Arles II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 2
ESP
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 0
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ECH
0 - 0
ESP
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
VEN
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arles II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ARL
4 - 0
ECH
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 1
ARL
34%
25%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 0
OLY
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AGD
2 - 1
ARL
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |