Nanterre vs Bastia-Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
74.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanterre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ESN
2 - 0
STL
7%
15%
78%
|
11 | 58 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia-Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
FBB
1 - 2
PAU
22%
28%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
FBB
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
NLM
0 - 2
FBB
9%
17%
75%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
FBB
1 - 2
BOU
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 2
FBB
45%
28%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |