ES Mostaganem vs CR Belouizdad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
15º
15º
23
2º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 25 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 37% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
61.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
OAK
1 - 2
ESM
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 0
USB
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 1
USM
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SET
1 - 0
ESM
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USK
2 - 0
ESM
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CR Belouizdad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
NCM
1 - 0
BEL
30%
30%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
USM
0 - 0
BEL
45%
27%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 3
EBA
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USB
0 - 0
BEL
26%
30%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
USK
0 - 0
BEL
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |