Jerba vs Ksour Essef analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ESJ
67%
22%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESJ
1 - 0
EMM
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
ESJ
69%
21%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
DJE
1 - 1
ESJ
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
ESJ
1 - 0
STA
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ksour Essef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
KSE
1 - 1
MBO
8%
17%
75%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
KSE
0 - 0
SBA
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |