Jerba vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
11º
3º
50
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ROG
2 - 2
ESJ
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ESJ
1 - 0
RAD
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
MED
1 - 1
ESJ
51%
26%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
OUE
1 - 0
ESJ
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ESJ
2 - 2
BEM
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
JSK
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GAB
0 - 0
ASD
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
4 - 1
ASM
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASD
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 0
RAD
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |