Heillecourt vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
86.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heillecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HEI
0 - 3
SAI
8%
14%
77%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRC
1 - 3
SPI
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESW
1 - 2
SPI
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPI
1 - 1
COL
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 0
SPI
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FUR
1 - 0
SPI
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |