ES Hammam Sousse vs Stade Tunisien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
6º
5º
22
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Hammam Sousse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ESH
5 - 1
ASS
27%
30%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
ESH
31%
31%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ESH
0 - 0
ETO
25%
30%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MBO
1 - 0
ESH
15%
24%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
ESH
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Tunisien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
STA
19%
26%
55%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
CAB
43%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 3
STA
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
ETO
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
ETO
36%
27%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |