ES Hammam Sousse vs Etoile Metlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
6º
5º
14
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Hammam Sousse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MBO
1 - 0
ESH
15%
24%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
ESH
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ESH
1 - 1
CSS
30%
32%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ESH
2 - 0
CHE
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
TAT
2 - 0
ESH
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
ETO
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ETO
2 - 1
CHE
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TAT
1 - 1
ETO
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
COS
3 - 4
ETO
19%
29%
53%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
OLY
42%
30%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |