ES Fosséenne vs Montpellier II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
10º
4º
19
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 42 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 41 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 34 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 3
ESF
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
ESF
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 0
SCR
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
ESF
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 2
OLY
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
SCR
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
OLY
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 0
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
COR
64%
18%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |