ES Fosséenne vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+435%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
6º
4º
34
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 3
IST
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ESF
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 3
EUA
26%
22%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STC
0 - 2
ESF
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 0
ASC
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 3
MON
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 1
LUC
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 0
SCR
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 3
RSV
45%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 2
IST
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |