ES Fosséenne vs Ardziv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
10º
3º
13
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RSV
1 - 1
ESF
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 3
BEA
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
ESF
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ESF
0 - 0
AGD
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSV
4 - 3
ESF
71%
16%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
EUA
1 - 3
SCR
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 3
EUA
20%
20%
61%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EUA
3 - 2
OLY
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +4 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUC
5 - 1
EUA
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IST
1 - 1
EUA
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |