ES Fosséenne vs Ardziv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
52.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1506%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
6º
4º
29
3º
9º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STC
0 - 2
ESF
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 0
ASC
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
ESF
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 0
RSV
23%
21%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESF
0 - 3
MON
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EUA
1 - 0
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
EUA
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EUA
1 - 4
SCR
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EUA
2 - 3
IST
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
EUA
43%
22%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |