ES Fosséenne vs Stade Beaucairois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
10º
3º
22
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
ESF
11%
17%
72%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ESF
0 - 0
AGD
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSV
4 - 3
ESF
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 3
BEA
26%
22%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
ESF
75%
15%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Beaucairois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
SCR
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 1
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 5
BEA
33%
22%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 3
BEA
26%
22%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEA
4 - 1
AGD
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |