ES Fosséenne vs Stade Beaucairois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1596%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
11º
11º
5
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
4 | 47 |
1º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 46 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 45 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 45 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
8 | 42 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 34 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 30 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 14 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
35.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
ESF
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ESF
0 - 0
AGD
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSV
4 - 3
ESF
71%
16%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 3
BEA
26%
22%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
ESF
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Beaucairois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
SCR
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 1
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 5
BEA
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 3
BEA
26%
22%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEA
4 - 1
AGD
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |