ES Fosséenne vs Cagnes-Le Cros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1506%
+600%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
6º
4º
27
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
ESF
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 0
RSV
23%
21%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESF
0 - 3
MON
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BEA
1 - 1
ESF
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ESF
6 - 0
SCR
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Cagnes-Le Cros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 1
MON
16%
19%
64%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SCR
4 - 0
ASC
71%
16%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 3
LUC
22%
21%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 3
IST
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 4
ASC
77%
13%
9%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |