ES El Aloui vs Gabès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES El Aloui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MOK
1 - 2
EEA
74%
16%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EEA
3 - 2
STA
4%
11%
86%
|
29 | 72 | 43 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
EEA
4 - 1
STA
10%
18%
72%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +9 |
Matches
Gabès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
JSK
2 - 0
GAB
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GAB
1 - 2
CSS
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 0
GAB
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CLU
0 - 1
GAB
11%
20%
69%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GAB
1 - 0
STA
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |