ES Dol vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
13º
14º
13º
30
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Dol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CES
4 - 0
DOL
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 0
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 0
DOL
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DOL
2 - 0
SBR
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LOC
4 - 1
DOL
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
VIT
15%
19%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
USF
1 - 1
PON
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
PON
76%
15%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 5
SPM
20%
21%
60%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CES
0 - 0
PON
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |