ES Dol vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
13º
14º
13º
27
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Dol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 3
USF
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 2
DOL
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 0
LAN
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 0
DOL
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 0
CES
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
LAT
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
PLA
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 5
VIT
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PLA
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |