ES Bourges Moulon vs Vineuil SF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+290%
+131%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
11º
6º
23
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Bourges Moulon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
SBM
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SBM
1 - 3
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SBM
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SBM
3 - 0
CHA
30%
22%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
SBM
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vineuil SF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VSF
0 - 1
VIE
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 4
VSF
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
6 - 0
VSF
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
VSF
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VSF
1 - 0
CHA
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |