Bouchamma vs Menzel Bourguiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bouchamma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ESB
2 - 3
SPO
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Menzel Bourguiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MBO
1 - 0
SFA
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MBO
0 - 0
RAD
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CRO
3 - 0
MBO
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MBO
1 - 1
COS
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
4 - 0
MBO
45%
28%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |