Bouchamma vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bouchamma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ESB
4 - 1
SFA
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ESB
2 - 2
MBO
11%
17%
73%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ESB
2 - 3
SPO
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 0
ETO
40%
31%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
ETO
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ESP
40%
28%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
USM
0 - 0
ETO
53%
27%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
ETO
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |