Erzincan Refahiyespor vs Payas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzincan Refahiyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
YEN
3 - 1
ERZ
74%
18%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 1
EYU
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 2
ERZ
70%
19%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 4
DEN
27%
24%
48%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
OYA
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Payas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PAY
3 - 2
DER
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TEK
1 - 0
PAY
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
HEA
1 - 2
PAY
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 3
YEN
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
EYU
2 - 0
PAY
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |