Erzincan Refahiyespor vs Denizli Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzincan Refahiyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
OYA
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 2
GOL
25%
25%
50%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CMA
0 - 2
ERZ
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ERZ
1 - 2
SAN
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AKS
1 - 2
ERZ
57%
22%
22%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Denizli Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 0
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TEK
3 - 0
DEN
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DEN
4 - 0
PAY
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
YEN
3 - 0
DEN
53%
25%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DEN
0 - 0
EYU
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |