Erzincan Refahiyespor vs Belediye Vanspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzincan Refahiyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
KOC
2 - 1
ERZ
39%
24%
38%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 2
DEN
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
ANA
2 - 1
ERZ
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 1
KAY
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AYV
2 - 1
ERZ
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Belediye Vanspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 1
IST
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MEN
1 - 0
BEL
23%
25%
51%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
BEL
4 - 0
TUZ
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
KIR
2 - 0
BEL
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 3
YEN
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |