Erzincan Refahiyespor vs Bafraspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzincan Refahiyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 0
IST
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MEN
1 - 1
ERZ
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ERZ
2 - 1
TUZ
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
KIR
3 - 0
ERZ
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
YEN
2 - 0
ERZ
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bafraspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
193
1 - 0
DEN
17%
23%
60%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
IST
2 - 0
193
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
193
0 - 2
ANA
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MEN
1 - 0
193
77%
14%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
KAY
1 - 0
193
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |